채드 빌링슬리 관련 이것저것

 

로열스 팬이 10월에 트레이드로 선발 영입 타켓으로 언급했던 채드 빌링슬리

Name: Chad Billingsley is a 27 year old RHP with the Dodgers

Contract: 3 year/$35M (2012: $9M, 2013: $11M, 2014: $12M) with a club option for 2015 for $14M with a $3M buyout

Pitches:

Fastball: Used around 50% to 60% of the time. Average 91.5 MPH.  It has been consistently at this speed since 2006.

Cutter:  Used around 20 to 25% of the time. Averages 88MPH.  In 2008 is when he used the cutter at this percentage.

Curve: Used around 15% to 20% of the time.  Averages 76 MPH.

Change-up: Used around 5% of the time. Average 85 MPH.

Here is a link to a nice interview with him on pitch sequencing (Part I and Part II).

Results:

Year	GS	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	WAR
2006	16	90.0	5.9	5.8	0.7	48%	3.80	4.88	5.43	0.6
2007	20	147.0	8.6	3.9	0.9	41%	3.31	4.02	4.02	2.0
2008	32	200.2	9.0	3.6	0.6	49%	3.14	3.35	3.58	4.4
2009	32	196.1	8.2	3.9	0.8	45%	4.03	3.82	3.99	3.1
2010	31	191.2	8.0	3.2	0.4	50%	3.57	3.07	3.67	4.5
2011	32	188.0	7.3	4.0	0.7	45%	4.21	3.83	4.14	2.1
Career	163	1013.2	8.0	3.9	0.7	47%	3.68	3.71	4.01	16.8

First, the 4 year decline in K/9 worries me. The walk rate scares me.  His career K/9, BB/9 and GB% are similar to Felipe Paulino's values:

8.3 K/9, 3.8 BB/9, 44% GB%

He looks to be a 3 WAR (or less) pitcher for the length of his current contract.

Injury History:

Sept 2006: Strained Left Oblique Muscle - missed 13 games

August 2009: Hamstring - missed 9 games

June 2010: Groin - missed 12 games

August 2010: Calf - missed 5 games.

Generally, he is injury free with no elbow or shoulder problems in the past.

Conclusions:

Chad's ability and contract seem to fit in with the move to improve the Royals' pitching.  He could be a #1 or #2 starter if he is able to get his walk rate under control.

As is the case with any trade, the key would be what would the Dodger's want in return. I could see moving just about anyone.  Trade Monty straight up. I would do that.  Monty and Holland. Again yes. Myers.  I would not, but that is me.  I think his up side is too much and we would be selling low.

Well, that is it for Chad.  What are your thoughts?  Also, let me know which pitcher you would like looked at next.

양키스 사이트에서 True Blue LA의 주인장 에릭 스티븐과 채드 빌링슬리 관련 트레이드 이야기

I recently emailed Eric Stephen from True Blue LA, the Los Angeles Dodgers' SB Nation website,  about the possibility of the Yankees trading for Chad Billingsley. Below are the questions and answers.

BC: Would you call Chad Billingsley "available?"

ES: I think the Dodgers would listen to offers but won't actively be shopping Billingsley. As it stands right now, their starting staff is Clayton Kershaw, Billingsley, and Ted Lilly. They are waiting on a decision from Hiroki Kuroda on whether he will come back to the Dodgers or go back to Japan, but with or without Kuroda their rotation would be razor thin without Billingsley.

BC: Would you call Billingsley's 2011 season a disappointment? Do you think the Dodgers upper management would call it a disappointment?

ES: Yes, it was a disappointment. It wasn't necessarily a bad season, but as a whole Billingsley was just rather ordinary, and his finish to the season was especially bad (4.85 ERA, 33 walks, 38 strikeouts in 59 innings over his last 11 starts). Manager Don Mattingly and Billingsley too both expressed disappointment in the way Billingsley finished the year, but with the hope that Billingsley is still young enough and talented enough to turn things around.

BC: What types of prospects are the Dodgers looking for?

ES: Generally, the Dodgers are actually fairly deep in pitching prospects, but lacking in advanced hitting prospects. Their organizational depth at third base especially is very poor.

BC: Propose a trade that would get the Yankees Billingsley?

ES: Jesus Montero.

BC: Any other proposals/pitchers available that the Yankees may be interested in?

ES: Can I interest you in a Ted Lilly? He has a mere two years and $25.5 million left on his deal. A former Yankee...

BC: How much could/will the ownership situation affect any possible deal?

ES: I don't expect many major moves by the Dodgers this offseason. It's hard to know just how quickly a new owner can be in place, but it doesn't seem likely to have one in place before spring training. I don't think there will be a mandate or anything to cut payroll, so the odds of a Billingsley deal are unaffected, in my opinion, by the ownership situation.