[존 시켈스] 마이애미 마린스, 유망주 TOP 20

마이애마 마린스의 유망주 랭킹이 발표가 되었습니다. 모두 예측을 했겠지만 우완투수 유망주인 호세 페르난데스가 1위, 외야수 유망주인 크리스티안 일리치가 2위를 차지했군요. 두선수는 내년 후반기에 메이저리그에 올라 올수도 있다는 이야기가 나오고 있더군요. 시켈스는 제이크 마리스닉을 BA보다 낮은 순위에  놓은 느낌입니다. 일단 토론토와의 트래이드를 통해서 데려온 선수들이 다수 랭킹에 포함이 되어 있네요.

1) Jose Fernandez, RHP, Grade A: Borderline A-. Seems like a conclusive case to me. First class stuff, good command for a young power pitcher, strong sabermetric factors, outstanding performance in A-ball at age 19/20. He's better than expected and he was expected to be pretty damn good to begin with.

2) Christian Yelich, OF, Grade A-: Borderline A. We'll have to see how much home run power he carries forward, but otherwise he'll contribute in every department and thrived in High-A at age 20. Hits for average, gets on base, has at least moderate power, swipes bags, plays well in center field.

3) Justin Nicolino, LHP, Grade B+: The most polished of the terrific rotation the Blue Jays had at Lansing last year. Superior command and control of solid fastball and curve, plus changeup. Could become number two starter.

4) Marcell Ozuna, OF, Grade B: Very dangerous power hitter had no problems hitting homers in difficult Florida State League at age 21. Will Double-A pitchers take advantage of his aggressiveness? Perhaps, but I am (for some reason) optimistic about his chances to adjust.

5) Andrew Heaney, LHP, Grade B: Strike-throwing first round pick out of Oklahoma State has good heat from a skinny frame, projects as a number three starter who could move fast.

6) Jake Marisnick, OF, Grade B-: Something of a tough grade. All the tools are here, but his swing gets tied up and he doesn't control the zone well against advanced pitching. He's young at 21 and has time to fix it, but without adjustments he will end up as a role player for his speed and glove.

7) Adeiny Hechavarria, SS, Grade B-: Glove will keep him employed for a long time. Don't expect much hitting in the short run, but he's not helpless and he could hit better than we currently expect as he gets into his late 20s. 

8) Rob Brantly, C, Grade B-: Don't expect him to hit for the power he did in his first 30 major league games over a full season, but he should have a long career as a solid defender who can hit for average.

9) Adam Conley, LHP, Grade B-: Good fastball/changeup combination, still working on slider and had some command wobbles in High-A. If that improves, can be a three/four starter or a nice relief option.

10) Derek Dietrich, INF, Grade B-: Nice pickup from the Rays this week. Power is his best tool and he should be a solid defender at second base, but his plate discipline isn't great and OBP may be an issue.

11) J.T. Realmuto, C, Grade B-: Went backward with the bat in High-A, but defense remains promising and he's still young at 22 in March. Emergence of Brantly buys him more time.

12) Jose Urena, RHP, Grade C+: Nice season in Low-A at age 20, 3.38 ERA with 101/29 K/BB in 138 innings. Projectable, still working on secondary pitches but already throws strikes. Mid-rotation upside arm who doesn't get enough attention.

13) Mason Hope, RHP, Grade C+: Competitor of Dylan Bundy and teammate of Archie Bradley in Oklahoma high school ranks is a solid prospect in his own right. Will move up to Low-A in 2013 and breakout season is possible. Another mid-rotation potentiality.

14) Alfredo Silverio, OF, Grade C+: Rule 5 pick from the Dodgers, missed entire season recovering from an auto accident. Tough to rank as a result, could fit higher depending on what you emphasize. Solid across-the-board tools, had a great year in Double-A in 2011 at age 24, but his skills are rather raw and it is unclear how the layoff will impact him.

15) Avery Romero, INF, Grade C+: 2012 third round pick has intriguing bat with a nice swing, power potential, good approach at the plate. Might wind up at second or third base, but scouts expect he'll hit. Caution flag: he was one of the oldest guys in the high school class and turns 20 in May.

16) Kolby Copeland, OF, Grade C+: Tooled up outfielder with power potential looks like possible steal as supplemental third rounder who got some first round buzz last spring. Reports on bat are positive, and intuitively there's something I like about him that is hard to explain.

17) Charlie Lowell, LHP, Grade C+: Sixth round pick from Wichita State in 2011 has a live arm and dominated the Sally League when he threw strikes. He didn't always throw those strikes, but even marginal improvements will result in a breakout. 

18) Grant Dayton, LHP, Grade C+: Outstanding performance record, lefty bullpen arm with good fastball/slider combination, stuff is good enough that he doesn't have to be confined to LOOGY role. Ready to help in next year or two.
 

19) Tom Koehler, RHP, Grade C+: Veteran minor league inning-chewer posted 13/2 K/BB in first 13 major league innings down the stretch. Older guy at age 26, but I think his stuff is a bit underrated and he could surprise as a four/five starter or reliever.

20) Austin Brice, RHP, Grade C+: Posted 4.35 ERA with 122/68 K/BB in 110 innings in Low-A at age 19/20. Low-to-mid-90s fastball and hard curve result in strong dominance ratios, but needs better command and still working on changeup. Command is erratic but has mid-rotation upside, could plausibly rank as high as 13 or 14.
 

OTHER GRADE C+ PROSPECTS: Austin Barnes, 2B-C; Zach Cox, 3B; Brian Flynn, LHP; Jesus Solorzano, OF. 

OTHERS: Michael Brady, RHP; Arquimedes Caminero, RHP; Mark Canha, 1B; Austin Dean, OF; Anthony DeSclafani, RHP; Jake Esch, RHP; Chad James, LHP; Dan Jennings, LHP; Kyle Jensen, OF; Cody Keefer, OF; Brent Keys, OF; Braulio Lara, LHP; Joe Mahoney, 1B; Scott McGough, RHP; Edgar Olmos, LHP; Noah Perio, 2B; Kyle Skipworth, C: Nick Wittgren, RHP.