매치업 비교 ; 타격

Matching Up With The Cardinals : Hitting

Last time I went over the pitching matchups, so the next logical step would be to tackle the hitters. While everybody knows about Albert Pujols, Matt Holliday, and Manny Ramirez, what about the rest of the bats?

Starters

To begin, let's take a look at the probable starters and do a position by position breakdown.

Catcher

Last year, this would have been a win for the Dodgers, but Martin's immense struggles at the plate slants this comparison heavily in favor of the Cardinals. For all the credit Molina gets for being a defensive wizard, people seem to gloss over the fact that he's about a league average hitter as well, which is solid from this position.
지난 해 다저스는 이 포지션에서 강점을 보였지만 올핸 마틴이 삽질을 하는 바람이 그런 것도 사라졌다. 포수마스크를 쓴 마술사인 몰리나는 타석에서도 아주 좋은 모습을 보였다.

First Base

Not only did Loney's potential not shine through this year, he simply stagnated. By contrast, Pujols claims he's not a machine and that he's just Albert, but I beg to differ. He's some kind of genetic mutation. This is not even close.
로니는 발전이 없었고, 푸올스도 'The Machine'이길 거부하며 발전이 없었다. 하지만 이 둘의 갭차이는 어마어마하다.

Second Base

The Cardinals actually have a platoon type situation here with Julio Lugo and Schumaker alternating playing time depending on whether Brendan Ryan plays short, but i'm going with Skip here because I think he's the better player. This is a tossup really, but i'll give the advantage to O-Dog due to his slightly better numbers.
브랜던 라이언이 유격수로 뛴다면 이 포지션이 카즈에게 사실상 플레툰(루고 & 슈마커)이나 다름없다. 타격때문에 슈마커가 2루에 들어가겠지만 둘 차이의 격차는 거의 없으며 둘 중 누가 나오던지간에 헛슨이 더 좋은 선수다.

Third Base

Blake was signed with some skepticism in the off-season, but he has proven to be one of the most consistent offensive assets the Dodgers have had. DeRosa was traded for from the Indians, but he got hurt shortly after and hasn't had a great go of it with the Cardinals. Simply put, he hasn't been very good this year, and he's actually well below average offensively. Chalk one up for the Dodgers.
오프시즌에 블레이크에 대한 회의론이 나왔지만 그는 올해 다저스에게있어 가장 꾸준한 타자였다. 데로사는 손목부상을 입었으며 좋은 시즌을 보내지 못했다. 다저스의 강점

Shortstop

Furcal was signed to a shiny new three year deal in the off-season, but he hasn't swung the bat well at all. He did have hot months in July and September, and a lot of Dodger fans are hopeful of his production going into the playoffs. However, he has shown the ability to go absolutely ice cold at random, so his production is a mystery at this point. On the other hand, Ryan has been remarkably steady throughout the year despite inconsistent playing time, and he has slightly better overall numbers than Furcal. Raffy represents a much higher offensive upside, but i'll give the slight edge to Ryan's steady production.
퍼칼은 새로운 3년계약을 체결했지만 시즌 내내 삽질을 해왔다....7월과 9월을 빼고! 그리고 그는 작년 포스트시즌에서 좋은 모습을 보여줬다. 그의 올시즌 굴곡많은 리듬덕에 그를 신뢰하진 못할 것이다. 반명, 라이언은 어정쩡한 플레잉타임에도 불구하고 좋은 시즌을 보냈고 스텟만을 따지면 퍼칼보다 우위에 있다. 퍼칼이 공격력에서 분명 강점은 있겠지만, 달라진 라이언을 생각해볼때 둘 사이의 차이는 거의 없다.

Left Field

If you hadn't heard, Manny missed 50 games due to suspension and has slumped in the second half. Holliday was traded to the Cardinals in the second half, and has been on fire ever since. The remarkable part? Manny still has better overall numbers. I think this is a draw due to the questions surrounding Manny's recent production and Holliday's current hot hand, but the fact remains that both of them have the potential to carry a team in any small sample size of games, and that's exactly what the playoffs are.
매니는 전반기에 약물로 인해 50경기 출장정지를 받았고, 할러데이는 엄청난 후반기를 보냈다. 아직까진 매니가 (포스트시즌에서) 더 좋은 타자임은 맞지만 매니의 최근 하락세와 할러데이의 최근 상승세는 분명 상반된 모습이다.

Center Field

The Cardinals actually have questions here as well, because Tony LaRussa insists on playing Rick Ankiel over Rasmus at times. Regardless, I went with Rasmus because he's the better player. Unfortunately for the Cardinals, being better than Ankiel doesn't mean you're a great hitter, especially when you're being compared to one of the best at the position in Kemp. Speaking of that, while Kemp very may well be on his way to superstardom, his only down month of the season came in September, so that is a bit concerning. Still, with the rest provided between the end of the season and the playoffs, hopes are high that he can once again resume carrying this squad offensively.
이 포지션에서 사실상 카즈는 라스무스보다 엔키엘을 더 많이 썼다. 뭐...둘 중 누가 나오던간에 (이제는) 스타가 된 캠프보다 못하다. 단지 캠프가 시즌 막판 삽질했다는 것을 제외하곤... 하지만, 시즌 종료와 포스트시즌 시작간에는 약간의 시간이 있기때문에 캠프가 다시 살아날 것이다.

Right Field

After a breakout year last year, Ludwick hasn't been nearly as good in 2009. Some of that was expected regression to the mean, but some of it was injury related as well. Regardless, the fact remains that he hasn't produced like a right fielder all year. Ethier also had a breakout 2008 campaign, but he supplemented that with another great year in 2009 to prove that he's no fluke. This is a runaway win for the Dodgers.
작년 브레이크 아웃 시즌을 보낸 루드윅은 올해 부상의 영향으로 그러질 못했다. 이띠어도 작년에 브레이크 아웃 시즌이었지만 작년이 뽀록이 아니라는 것을 올해 다시 증명시켜줬다.

Overall

The final tally for the positional matchups is two for the Cardinals, three for the Dodgers, and three approximate draws. However, that doesn't really give any real insight into the overall performance of the starting offenses.
전체적으로 포지션에서 카즈 2승, 다저스 3승, 동률 3개가 되었다. 하지만 이 것이 포지션 플레이어들을 대변하는 지표는 분명 아닐 것이다.

In more general terms, the Cardinals win the overall comparison with a .351 average wOBA to the Dodgers .348 average wOBA. However, the Cardinals have a lot more holes in their lineup. The Dodgers have two below average bats, two at about average, and four who are well above average. The Cardinals tally three below average, three at average, and two well above average. Point being, the Cardinals are a star heavy lineup with not much else, and the Dodgers are a more balanced threat from the start to the finish. Personally, I prefer the latter option.
카즈의 타선은 다저스보다 좋은 wOBA(weighted On Base Average)를 보여줬다. 다저스는 평균보다 못치는 포지션이 2군데이고, 평균이 2군데, 평균 이상이 4군데 존재한다. 카즈는 평균보다 못치는 포지션이 3군데이며, 평균이 3군데, 평균 이상이 2군데 존재한다. 카즈는 무시무시한 2개의 포지션을 가지고 있으며, 다저스는 고루 잘하는 타선이 있어 개인적으로 후자를 더 선호한다.

Bench

A bench player or pinch hitter might not get more than a dozen at-bats in an entire postseason, but the chances they do get generally come in high leverage situations, so it's important that they make them count.
벤치 플레이어(or 대타)들에게 많은 기회가 오진 않겠지만, 그 기회가 아주 중요한 순간에 찾아오기 때문에 아주 중요하다고 할 수 있다.

To measure which team holds the advantage in this department, I took the three best bats likely to be on the postseason roster but aren't projected starters.
그걸 측정하기 위해 아래에 3명의 로스터에 포함될거 같은 선수를 선별했다.

As you can see, this isn't all that close of a matchup.

Lugo is a solid option off the bench, but Ankiel has suffered through a horrid season, and while Glaus is a threat, i'm doubtful of his readiness for important at-bats.
루고는 아주 좋은 벤치 플레이어지만 엔키엘과 글로스는 끔직한 시즌을 보냈다. 그렇기에 이  두명이 중요한 상황에서 (과연) 나올지가 의심스럽다.

Thome is suffering through some health ailments, but I suppose he has been for the last few years, and he still manages to be an on-base and power threat regardless. Belliard's numbers may look merely average, but he has been absolutely raking since joining the Dodgers. Pierre has adapted to his role as a bench player well, and is having his best offensive season since 2004. All three are legitimate threats off the bench.
토미도 건강에 이상을 겪고 있지만 그런 것과는 상관없이 타석에서 (시즌 막판) 좋은 모습을 보여줬다. 벨리아드의 스텟은 분명 평범한 수준이지만 그가 다저스로 온 이후의 스텟을 다시 한 번 봐줄 필요가 있다. 피에르는 작년부터 벤치맴버로써 변신을 했고, 올해가 04시즌 이후 가장 좋은 공격력을 보여줬다. 다저스의 완승

Conclusion

While the Cardinals have two superstar hitters in Pujols and Holliday, the rest of the lineup is quite vulnerable to quality pitcher. The Dodgers are deeper up and down the lineup, and the bench play is far superior. Therefore, the edge here has to go to the Dodgers, but Pujols and Holliday catching fire would likely spell doom for the Blue Crew.
카즈는 두 명의 슈퍼스타가 있지만 라인업의 나머지는 허접하다. 다저스는 타선의 짜임세가 좋으며 벤치맴버에서 강점을 지니고 있다. 전체적으로 다저스에게 우위가 있지만 두 명의 슈퍼스타가 다저스의 운명을 좌우할 것 같다.